Whilst the one drawback is rising interest rates, the Reserve Bank’s current cash rate of 1.85% is historically low.
So, it raises the question…
Is now a good time to buy and invest?
To answer this question, let’s look at the property market today;
1. Interest rates and the property market
At the Reserve Bank of Australia’s August meeting on 02/08/2022, a decision was made to raise the cash rate by 50 basis points from 1.35% to 1.85%.
Many think rising interest rates will hurt the property market; however, it’s quite the opposite. High inflation is usually the reason interest rates rise, and this is also the cause of increased property prices.
Let’s reflect on the property market historically, and what rising interest rates and inflation have meant.
Going back to 1970, you needed only around $18,700 to purchase a property in Sydney. At that point, the interest rate was 5.88%.
RBA Cash Rate vs Median Property Price
Source: RBA, CoreLogic
Just 10 years later, the property prices went through the roof to around $76,000, tripling the price of 1970. However, at the same time, interest rates went from 5.88% to 9.1%.
The same pattern remained throughout the property market’s history, where property prices increased regardless of the rising interest rates.
Savvy property buyers take advantage of this, as rising rates are always associated with rising asset values and property values.
2. Housing shortage – Low supply and high demand
According to recent ABS data, since 2016, the number of free-standing dwellings approved in NSW has steadily been around 30,000, with a decline in 2020.
While approvals for multi-unit housing (apartments and townhouses) entirely declined from three strong years of 42,000–44,000 approvals in 2016–2018 to less than 30,000 approvals in each of the last three years.
According to ANZ, there is already a housing shortage of 250,000 homes.
In addition, CoreLogic’s Cordell Construction Cost Index (CCCI) for Q2 2022 revealed that national residential construction costs rose by 10.0% over the 12 months to June 2022. This is the greatest annual growth rate ever recorded outside of the implementation of the GST (10.2% over the year to March 2001).
New building activity is expected to slow further over the next three months, which will have a knock-on effect on the housing supply across Australia.
4. Population explosion and the coming immigration boom
Another factor that will affect the property market is population growth, which will drive the market even further.
With international and domestic borders reopening, we have welcomed international students, visitors and residents back into the country. And we are going to see an influx of immigrants over the next 3 years.
The Government has forecast over 230,000 skilled migrants will come to Australia every year. Therefore, the property and rental markets are expected to remain tight.
According to Real Estate Institute of Australia President Hayden Groves, home buyers shouldn’t wait for prices to fall.
“If anyone is waiting for a market where supply is outstripping demand, I don’t think that market is coming anytime soon, particularly when we are going to have more migration coming into Australia.
“We haven’t been building a lot of houses in recent times. We still have a shortage of supply.”
5. Buying off-the-plan
In a time of building insolvency, increasing material costs, and supply chain issues, buying off-the-plan is a great strategy that many buyers are heading toward.
In addition, buying off-the-plan provides more time for you to save for future repayments during the construction process. While your property has already been secured, the value would most likely increase by the settlement date.
6. Advice from our property experts
Looking at the long-term cash rate over the last 10 years, you will see that the long-term average bank interest rates have been around 6-7% for many years. That’s about the “sweet spot” for the economy, cash savers, governments and borrowers, said Mark Harry, Senior Property Strategist at St Trinity Property Group.
“Governments drop cash rates when they want to stimulate the economy. On the flip side, governments increase cash rates when they want to slow the economy to control inflation and the overall cost of living.
Therefore, a rise in the current cash rate of 50 basis points to the current 1.85 per cent – and the corresponding bank interest rates of around, say 3-4% are still well below the sweet spot.
Rates will continue to correct depending on the economy. It’s just the economy balancing out to where it feels most comfortable.”
So, as a savvy property buyer and investor, it is important to understand the true meaning of the interest rate rise and respond wisely to it.
Let’s wrap up!
If you are looking to buy or invest in the property market, now is an opportune time.
Whether you are a first home buyer or investor, or you’re unsure how to move forward in your property journey, our team is here to create personalised wealth-building strategies that can help you secure the financial future of your dreams.
St Trinity Property Group and its affiliated entities, representatives, agents and related companies (collectively referred to as ST TRINITY PROPERTY GROUP) respect the privacy and security of your Personal Information, as defined below, and comply with the requirements of the Australian Privacy Principles under the Privacy Act 1988 (Cth).
WHAT PERSONAL INFORMATION DO WE COLLECT AND HOLD?
Under the Act Personal Information is defined as information or an opinion about an identified individual, or an individual that is reasonably identifiable, in whatever form and regardless of whether it is true or not (Personal Information). The Act also defines a subset of Personal Information as sensitive information (for example health records, racial or ethnic origin, religious beliefs, criminal records).
The types of Personal Information we collect and hold will depend on the circumstances of collection and on the type of service we are providing. For example, when we are engaged to sell a property, we may collect and hold Personal Information from both the seller and potential buyers such as name, address, email address, telephone numbers, employment details and details about their business.
HOW WE COLLECT PERSONAL INFORMATION
We may collect Personal Information about you directly when you deal with us over the telephone, send us correspondence (whether by letter, fax or email), have contact with us in person, visit our websites or complete hard copy or online forms.
There are also circumstances where we may collect Personal Information about you from someone else. For example, from:
• Market research companies contracted by us to obtain information so that we may improve and market our services;
• Your employer;
• Other agents and valuers who may be involved in the services we provide;
• Property developers who contract us to market properties;
• Publicly available information and databases;
• Any of the companies within the St Trinity Property Group (both local and overseas);
• and Anyone you have authorised to deal with us on your behalf.
We also automatically collect certain information when you visit our websites or our subscribers receive promotional emails from us via cookies and other tracking technology (such as web beacons), some of which may be capable of personally identifying you. Such information includes the type of browser and operating system you are using, your IP address and how you use our websites.
WHY WE COLLECT, HOLD AND USE PERSONAL INFORMATION
We generally collect, hold and use your Personal Information for the purposes for which it is provided to us (which will usually be obvious at the time of collection), related purposes or as permitted or required by law. Such purposes may include:
• Acting as agent for vendors or purchasers in relation to the sale of a property;
• Acting as agent for owners or tenants in relation to the leasing and or valuation of a property;
• Project management services;
• Structured advisory services;
• Town planning services;
• Capital allowances services and other consulting services in relation to the property market;
• Administration of our business, such as collection of overdue commissions or outstanding fees;
• Responding to client enquiries and communicating with you from time to time to maintain contact and keep you updated on the services you have requested;
• Forecasting future needs of our services and general quality assurance and training purposes;
• Engaging in legal proceedings and/or enforcing judgments and/or orders;
• Complying with the applicable legal or regulatory requirements and/or orders of competent authorities;
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DISCLOSURE OF PERSONAL INFORMATION
We may disclose your Personal Information to third parties as may be necessary for any of the purposes stated in the above section. Such third parties generally include:
Our third party providers, contractors, consultants, agents and/or representatives (such as law firms, banks, financial institutions, insurers, IT providers, mortgage referral services providers and/or wealth management services providers) who provide services to us or on our behalf, including to:
• Conduct valuations;
• Assist with obtaining payment from creditors;
• Operate data centres;
• Conduct market research;
• Provide advice;
• Potential buyers, tenants, conjunctional real estate agents and brokers for the purpose for which the information was collected or for related purposes (for example to complete a transaction on your behalf or provide you with a service that you requested); Anyone you have authorised to deal with us on your behalf;
• Any of the companies within the St Trinity Property Group and their related companies; Government authorities, regulatory bodies, law enforcement agencies, courts, tribunals and/or parties to the legal proceedings where you have consented to this or we are required or authorised to do so by law;
• Debt collection agencies; and/or Any other third parties identified at the time of collection of your Personal Information.
DISCLOSURE OF PERSONAL INFORMATION OVERSEAS
Some of the third parties listed above to whom we may disclose your Personal Information are located overseas. For example:
Our information technology and business process service providers that are located in countries including (but not limited to) the Indonesia, India and Philippines; and Our overseas clients that are located in the same countries as the companies within the St Trinity Property Group.
However you acknowledge that, by agreeing to the disclosure of your Personal Information to these entities outside of Australia, we will no longer be required to take reasonable steps to ensure the overseas recipient’s compliance with the Australian privacy law in relation to your Personal Information and we will not be liable to you for any breach of the Australian privacy law by these overseas recipients. On this basis, you consent to such disclosure.
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We take reasonable steps to ensure that the Personal Information we hold about you is accurate, complete and up-to-date. However, we also rely on you to advise us of any changes to your Personal Information. If you are able to access your Personal Information by logging on to an account you have with us, it is your responsibility to ensure your information is accurate, complete, relevant and up-to-date.
On request we will provide you with access to the Personal Information we hold about you, including for the purpose of correcting or updating that information, unless otherwise required or permitted by law.
There is no charge for making the request or giving the access to your Personal Information. We will deal with your request within a reasonable period after the request is made.
If we refuse to provide you with access we will provide you with a written notice that, at a minimum, outlines reasons for the refusal and the complaints mechanisms available to you.
If you wish to access the Personal Information we hold about you or to update or correct it, you can either do so by logging on to your account (if you have one) or contact us using the contact details provided below. We will require you to verify your identity and specify what information you require.
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We take reasonable steps to protect any Personal Information that we hold from misuse, interference and loss and from unauthorised access, alteration and disclosure. For example, we implement IT security procedures including password protection, firewalls and site monitoring and we store your Personal Information on a secure server.we store your Personal Information on a secure server.
However, data protection measures are never completely secure and, despite the measures we have put in place, we cannot guarantee the security of your Personal Information. You must take care to protect your Personal Information (for example, by protecting any usernames and passwords). You should notify us as soon as possible if you become aware of any security breaches.
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OUR CONTACT DETAILS
• St Trinity Property Group
• Chief Privacy Officer